Trading with market resistance and concave price impact
By: Youssef Ouazzani Chahdi, Nathan De Carvalho, Grégoire Szymanski
Potential Business Impact:
Helps traders make more money by predicting market moves.
We consider an optimal trading problem under a market impact model with endogenous market resistance generated by a sophisticated trader who (partially) detects metaorders and trades against them to exploit price overreactions induced by the order flow. The model features a concave transient impact driven by a power-law propagator with a resistance term responding to the trader's rate via a fixed-point equation involving a general resistance function. We derive a (non)linear stochastic Fredholm equation as the first-order optimality condition satisfied by optimal trading strategies. Existence and uniqueness of the optimal control are established when the resistance function is linear, and an existence result is obtained when it is strictly convex using coercivity and weak lower semicontinuity of the associated profit-and-loss functional. We also propose an iterative scheme to solve the nonlinear stochastic Fredholm equation and prove an exponential convergence rate. Numerical experiments confirm this behavior and illustrate optimal round-trip strategies under "buy" signals with various decay profiles and different market resistance specifications.
Similar Papers
Fredholm Approach to Nonlinear Propagator Models
Mathematical Finance
Helps traders buy and sell stocks smarter.
Why is the estimation of metaorder impact with public market data so challenging?
Trading & Market Microstructure
Helps predict how big trades change stock prices.
A Stochastic Thermodynamics Approach to Price Impact and Round-Trip Arbitrage: Theory and Empirical Implications
Mathematical Finance
Proves trading can't guarantee easy money.