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A Framework for Estimating Restricted Mean Survival Time Difference using Pseudo-observations

Published: January 9, 2026 | arXiv ID: 2601.06296v1

By: Man Jin, Yixin Fang

Potential Business Impact:

Finds best medicine by comparing patient survival.

Business Areas:
A/B Testing Data and Analytics

A targeted learning (TL) framework is developed to estimate the difference in the restricted mean survival time (RMST) for a clinical trial with time-to-event outcomes. The approach starts by defining the target estimand as the RMST difference between investigational and control treatments. Next, an efficient estimation method is introduced: a targeted minimum loss estimator (TMLE) utilizing pseudo-observations. Moreover, a version of the copy reference (CR) approach is developed to perform a sensitivity analysis for right-censoring. The proposed TL framework is demonstrated using a real data application.

Page Count
8 pages

Category
Statistics:
Methodology