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Population-Adjusted Indirect Treatment Comparison with the outstandR Package in R

Published: January 12, 2026 | arXiv ID: 2601.07532v1

By: Nathan Green, Antonio Remiro-Azocar

Indirect treatment comparisons (ITCs) are essential in Health Technology Assessment (HTA) when head-to-head clinical trials are absent. A common challenge arises when attempting to compare a treatment with available individual patient data (IPD) against a competitor with only reported aggregate-level data (ALD), particularly when trial populations differ in effect modifiers. While methods such as Matching-Adjusted Indirect Comparison (MAIC) and Simulated Treatment Comparison (STC) exist to adjust for these cross-trial differences, software implementations have often been fragmented or limited in scope. This article introduces outstandR, an R package designed to provide a comprehensive and unified framework for population-adjusted indirect comparison (PAIC). Beyond standard weighting and regression approaches, outstandR implements advanced G-computation methods within both maximum likelihood and Bayesian frameworks, and Multiple Imputation Marginalization (MIM) to address non-collapsibility and missing data. By streamlining the workflow of covariate simulation, model standardization, and contrast estimation, outstandR enables robust and compatible evidence synthesis in complex decision-making scenarios.

Category
Statistics:
Computation